Towards an accurate, back-of-napkin mathematical model of the whole ceramic armor plate I: The BE equation
I recently published a paper on how it’s possible to accurately estimate a ceramic armor strike-face’s performance from a small set of mechanical properties that are easy to define. That paper, “a facile method for the estimation of ceramic performance in light armor systems,” is available here as an open-access paper: https://ceramics.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/ces2.10227
Now I realize that it could use some background, a short summary, and I can also devote a few words to how we’re extending the method.
Ceramic armor mechanical properties and performance
To simplify things a bit, until very recently nobody knew which mechanical properties were responsible for good performance in ceramic armor systems. There were many false starts, with various methods, like the D-Value equation, proposed and then eventually discarded.
This started changing about ten years ago, when Erik Carton’s group at TNO developed their Inertia Method for ceramic armor analysis. What they realized is that a ceramic strike-face’s performance is highly correlated with the volume of the conoid that forms upon impact.

In practice, assuming the cone side angle doesn’t vary widely between ceramic types, we’re already very familiar with the implications: At an equal weight, denser ceramics tend to perform
much worse than lighter ones, because the volumes of the fracture conoids they form upon impact are typically that much lower.

(Image courtesy: Carton E, Roebroeks GHJJ, Weerheijm J, Diederen A. Inertia as main working mechanism for ceramic based armour, Personal Armor Systems Symposium, International Personal Armor Committee. Washington DC. 2019. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/374925700_Role_of_inertia_in_armour_ceramics Downloaded 14 May 2024)
In other words, lower-density ceramics, being thicker at an equal weight, perform better because the fracture conoids they form are more massive.
At a glance, this result explained just about everything we knew of the performance gap between common armor ceramics such as boron carbide, silicon carbide, and aluminum oxide. Or so we thought.
Years later, in reviewing large libraries of ballistic data alongside our in-house R&D reports, it became apparent that the Inertia Method tended to overestimate the performance of boron carbide and, simultaneously, underestimate the performance of silicon carbide. The actual performance discrepancy between them, on a weight basis, was slightly but durably less than a pure conoid-based analysis predicts. For e.g., in Level IV plates, a B4C tile will perform roughly 17% better than a SiC tile on a weight basis, though the difference in conoid mass is on the order of 60%.
Needless to say, this called for further investigation. Fracture conoid side angles proved difficult to measure empirically, and predictive equations and models were equivocal at best. Besides, it’s not entirely clear that the projectile interacts very much with ceramic material on the margins of the conoid — a major failure mode for AP projectiles is erosion, and only ceramic material in direct contact with the projectile can contribute to erosion — so it didn’t seem likely to me that increased conoid volume necessarily translates to improved performance in a linear fashion.
So then the question became: “Is there a difference in mechanical properties that can explain why the relative performance gap is narrower than expected?” The two ceramic types were of similar, if not practically identical, hardness; the samples we tested ourselves measured at ~2600HV1 (SiC) and ~2650HV1 (B4C). Hardness was therefore dismissed as a significant factor. But, as it turned out, SiC had a tremendous advantage in compressive strength — a measure of resistance to bulk deformation that is in many respects similar to a hardness test, yet one that takes place on a larger scale and is more sensitive to grain size, defect density, and other large-scale and microstructural features. In fact, SiC’s compressive strength was consistently nearly 35% greater than boron carbide’s.
As a general rule, ceramics fail in compression because, under a uniaxial compressive load, they experience tensile stresses perpendicular to the applied force due to Poisson’s effect. These tensile stresses act on pre-existing microcracks within the ceramic, causing them to propagate and eventually link up to form a crush zone. Unlike tensile failure — where the largest, most favorably oriented flaw leads to sudden fracture — compressive failure in ceramics involves the stable growth and coalescence of many cracks.

It is therefore natural that compressive strength would be important to ballistic performance, for when a projectile impacts ceramic armor, the armor must withstand intense localized compressive stresses. A ceramic with higher compressive strength can resist the initiation and propagation of cracks more effectively, thereby absorbing more energy from the projectile and enhancing the armor’s ability to stop or erode the incoming threat, e.g. in a prolonged dwell period.
Preliminary models were built, and regression analysis was applied to see whether variance in compressive strength has explanatory power in the case of SiC vs. B4C. That indeed proved to be the case. But also, when looking across different ceramic types, hardness also stood out as a property strongly correlated with performance. Both compressive strength and hardness — two different but related properties — proved to be individually important factors. Other properties, such as fracture toughness, tensile strength, and Poisson’s ratio, had no correlation
with performance at all.
Further analysis led to the equation below.
BE = 1.677⋅D+5⋅((T⋅D)/D)+0.003⋅CS+0.005⋅H
Where:
D = Density in gm/cc
CS = Compressive strength in MPa
T = Thickness
H = Vickers hardness (HV1)
BE = Ballistic efficacy figure of merit, where a value of approximately 70 corresponds to the ability to defeat the .30-06 M2 AP in a typical light body armor or vehicular armor system and a value of approximately 100 corresponds to the ability to defeat .50 BMG AP in a light armor system.
The BE equation proved to have tremendous explanatory power that held across all ceramic types at thickness ranges typical of body armor.
Extending the method: Other materials
Interestingly, the BE equation also appears to work when applied to certain other brittle materials. Consider ultra-high hardness steels.
Maraging C350, given: D=8.1, H=700, CS=2675, T=9
BE = 1.677⋅8.1+5⋅((9⋅8.1)/8.1)+0.003⋅2675+0.005⋅700
BE ≈ 70.1
The BE equation predicts that a 9mm thickness of an ultra-hard high-compressive-strength maraging steel, in fully-hardened condition and over a backing layer, will suffice to defeat 7.62mm AP projectiles — if only barely. This is highly credible in light of the fact that a 12mm thickness of that steel will almost certainly defeat that same AP threat without a backer, and in light of a large body of existing data that compares vehicular ceramic armor with steel armor in terms of ballistic efficacy. Though it requires further experimental validation, the BE equation provides credible values for high-hardness steel in steel-composite armor systems, and may be used to optimize steel alloys for target mechanical properties — namely low density, high compressive strength, and high hardness.
For example: Adding 3% Si to a steel alloy significantly reduces its density, and can simultaneously improve its compressive strength and hardness.
All of the above also applies to glass and glass-ceramics. Though generally far softer than ceramics, they fail in compression in much the same way, and the same properties that influence ceramic armor performance also influence glass and glass-ceramic armor performance. So, as above, it makes sense to optimize them for low density, high compressive strength, and high hardness.
Note only that it is considered axiomatic that the armor strike-face should be as hard or harder than the penetrator core, which, in steel-cored AP rounds, is typically 59-63 HRC. Therefore the formula might not be reliable for steels, glasses, or other materials at hardnesses under 60 HRC or 700 HV1. Low-hardness RHA and similar grades of steel would fail via a ductile plugging mode that is not contemplated by the BE formula, and low-hardness glasses or tool steels might not be capable of eroding the threat projectile’s core.